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Chile's CPI and inflation in 2026: how much prices have risen and what comes next

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Chile's CPI and inflation in 2026: how much prices have risen and what comes next

Chile's CPI (IPC) rose 0.4% in September 2026, bringing the year-to-date increase to 4.0% and the 12-month rate to 4.1%, according to the National Statistics Institute (INE). Inflation is above the Central Bank's 3% target, driven by fuel: so far this year gasoline is up 20.8% and diesel 36.8%.

This article brings together the monthly CPI series, the parts of the basket that have risen most, what the Central Bank and economists expect, and how Chile compares with the rest of Latin America. The INE will publish October's CPI in early November.

Inflation in Chile in four numbers
0.4%September CPI
4.1%12-month inflation
4.0%January-September
4.5%Monetary policy rate
Source: INE (CPI, September 2026) and Central Bank of Chile (policy rate, October 2026)
View the data as a table
September CPI0.4%
12-month inflation4.1%
January-September4.0%
Monetary policy rate4.5%

September 2026 CPI: the INE figure

In September, eight of the basket's 13 divisions rose. The biggest contributions came from food and non-alcoholic beverages (+0.6%) and transport (+0.9%), the latter driven by fuel (+3.7% in the month). At the other end, insurance and financial services fell 5.9%. The headline index stood at 113.59 points (annual base 2023 = 100) (INE bulletin).

  • CPI excluding volatile items (the core measure the Central Bank follows): +0.3% in the month.
  • CPI excluding food and energy: +0.1% in the month.
  • Energy: +1.9% in the month; electricity rose 1.6% and is up 2.4% this year.
  • Diesel: +10.2% in the month; gasoline: +2.7%.

CPI month by month: how much it has risen in 2026

The year had two jumps: 1.0% in March and 1.3% in April, then more moderate months. Twelve-month inflation went from 2.4% in February, its lowest since August 2020 according to the press, to 4.3% in June and 4.1% in September.

Month 2026Monthly changeYear to date12-month change
January+0.4%+0.4%2.8%
February0.0%+0.4%2.4%
March+1.0%+1.4%2.8%
April+1.3%+2.7%4.0%
May+0.2%+2.9%3.9%
June0.0%+2.9%4.3%
July+0.1%+3.0%3.5%
August+0.6%+3.6%4.1%
September+0.4%+4.1%4.1%

Source: INE (Chile's statistics institute), September 2026 CPI and monthly bulletins. The year-to-date figure chains the published monthly changes and matches the one reported by the INE in each bulletin (4.0% through September).

March and April saw 2026's biggest increasesMonthly CPI change, January 2024 to September 2026, %
-0.5%0%0.5%1%1.5%Jan 2024Jun 2024Nov 2024Apr 2025Sep 2025Feb 2026Jul 2026Sep 2026
Source: INE (Chile's statistics institute), September 2026 CPI and monthly bulletins
View the data as a table
CPI, monthly change
Jan 20240.7%
Feb 20240.6%
Mar 20240.4%
Apr 20240.5%
May 20240.3%
Jun 2024-0.1%
Jul 20240.7%
Aug 20240.3%
Sep 20240.1%
Oct 20241.0%
Nov 20240.2%
Dec 2024-0.2%
Jan 20251.1%
Feb 20250.4%
Mar 20250.5%
Apr 20250.2%
May 20250.2%
Jun 2025-0.4%
Jul 20250.9%
Aug 20250.0%
Sep 20250.4%
Oct 20250.0%
Nov 20250.3%
Dec 2025-0.2%
Jan 20260.4%
Feb 20260.0%
Mar 20261.0%
Apr 20261.3%
May 20260.2%
Jun 20260.0%
Jul 20260.1%
Aug 20260.6%
Sep 20260.4%
Annual inflation has stayed above target since April12-month CPI change, January to September 2026, and the Central Bank target
CPI 12 monthsTarget (3%)
0%1%2%3%4%5%Jan 2026Mar 2026May 2026Jul 2026Sep 2026CPI 12 monthsTarget (3%)
Source: INE (Chile's statistics institute), September 2026 CPI and monthly bulletins
View the data as a table
CPI 12 monthsTarget (3%)
Jan 20262.8%3.0%
Feb 20262.4%3.0%
Mar 20262.8%3.0%
Apr 20264.0%3.0%
May 20263.9%3.0%
Jun 20264.3%3.0%
Jul 20263.5%3.0%
Aug 20264.1%3.0%
Sep 20264.1%3.0%
Street market in Maipú, Santiago
Street market in Maipú. Food and beverages weigh about 22% in the CPI basket. Photo: Jorgebarrios, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 3.0.

What rose most: prices by division

Over twelve months, transport (+7.9%) leads the increases, followed by education (+5.8%), restaurants and accommodation (+5.6%) and health (+5.1%). Food, the heaviest division in the basket (22.2%), is up 4.3%. Only two divisions are down: clothing and footwear and insurance and financial services.

Transport leads the increases on fuel prices12-month CPI change by division, September 2026
View the data as a table
Transport7.9%
Education5.8%
Restaurants and accommodation5.6%
Recreation, sport and culture5.2%
Health5.1%
Food and non-alcoholic beverages4.3%
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco4.1%
Housing and utilities3.6%
Information and communication1.9%
Household equipment and maintenance1.5%
Miscellaneous goods and services0.2%
Clothing and footwear-3.1%
Insurance and financial services-9.7%

Inflation in Chile year by year

To put 2026 in context: December-to-December inflation was 12.8% in 2022 (press, January 2023) and fell to 3.9% in 2023 (Pauta, January 2024), 4.5% in 2024 and 3.5% in 2025. The 4.0% accumulated through September already exceeds the whole of 2025.

2026 has already topped all of 2025's inflationDecember-to-December inflation, 2022-2025, and 2026 through September
Source: INE (2022 and 2023, as reported by the press and Pauta); 2024 and 2025, 2023 basket, September 2026 IPoM; 2026, INE
View the data as a table
202212.8%
20233.9%
20244.5%
20253.5%
2026 (Jan-Sep)4.0%

Inflation also explains part of what happened to pensions: the rise in interest rates that came with it hit fixed-income funds, as shown in our analysis of AFP pension fund returns in 2026.

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What comes next for CPI: Central Bank and market projections

In its September 2026 Monetary Policy Report (IPoM), the Central Bank projected inflation would end December 2026 at 4.3% and fall to 2.8% by the end of 2027 (IPoM). At its October 27 meeting, the Board kept the monetary policy rate at 4.5% and warned that inflation projections for the coming months had risen above the IPoM scenario.

According to Chócale on October 13, economists polled in the Central Bank's October Economic Expectations Survey expect inflation of 4.6% for December 2026, 3.4% by September 2027 and 3.0% by September 2028, and see the policy rate holding at 4.5% at the next two meetings.

SourceDecember 202620272028
Central Bank, September 2026 IPoM4.3%2.8% (December)3.0% (December)
Economic Expectations Survey, October 2026 (as reported by Chócale)4.6%3.4% (September)3.0% (September)
IMF, WEO October 20264.2%——
The market expects 2026 to end higher than the Central Bank doesProjected 12-month inflation, %
Source: Central Bank of Chile, September 2026 IPoM; October 2026 Economic Expectations Survey, as reported by Chócale; IMF, October 2026 WEO
View the data as a table
Expectations survey, Dec 20264.6%
September IPoM, Dec 20264.3%
IMF, Dec 20264.2%
Expectations survey, Sep 20273.4%
September IPoM, Dec 20272.8%
Facade of the Central Bank of Chile in Santiago
The Central Bank of Chile on Agustinas Street. Photo: Banco Central de Chile, Wikimedia Commons, CC0.

Inflation in Latin America: where Chile stands

Using the IMF's October 2026 projection for December this year (4.2%), Chile sits in the middle of the region: above Mexico (3.6%), Paraguay (3.1%) and Ecuador (2.8%), and below Colombia (6.7%). Venezuela (336.7%), Argentina (29.5%), Haiti (16.0%) and Bolivia (14.2%) still have double- or triple-digit inflation.

Chile sits mid-table in Latin American inflationEnd-2026 inflation projected by the IMF, %
0.7%3.0%5.0%10.0%30.0%–336.7%
Cuba has no data in the WEO. Projection for December 2026, not an actual figure.Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2026, end-of-period inflation
View the data as a table
Dec 2026 inflation (proj.)
Venezuela336.7%
Argentina29.5%
Haiti16.0%
Bolivia14.2%
Suriname12.4%
Colombia6.7%
Honduras6.7%
Guyana5.7%
Dominican Republic4.9%
Brazil4.8%
Uruguay4.5%
Belize4.5%
Peru4.4%
Guatemala4.4%
Chile4.2%
Nicaragua4.0%
Mexico3.6%
Paraguay3.1%
El Salvador3.0%
Ecuador2.8%
Panama2.5%
Costa Rica0.7%
Inflation in Latin America and the Caribbean, 2025 and 2026 projectionPrice change to December of each year, %
Venezuela475.3%336.7%
Argentina31.5%29.5%
Haiti31.9%16.0%
Bolivia20.4%14.2%
Suriname11.4%12.4%
Colombia5.1%6.7%
Honduras5.0%6.7%
Guyana2.5%5.7%
Dominican Republic5.0%4.9%
Brazil4.3%4.8%
Uruguay3.7%4.5%
Belize0.4%4.5%
Peru1.5%4.4%
Guatemala1.7%4.4%
Chile3.4%4.2%
Nicaragua2.7%4.0%
Mexico3.7%3.6%
Paraguay3.1%3.1%
El Salvador0.9%3.0%
Ecuador1.9%2.8%
Panama0.4%2.5%
Costa Rica-1.2%0.7%
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook, October 2026, end-of-period inflation

Note a method difference: the IMF records 3.4% for Chile in December 2025, while the INE reports 3.5% with the 2023 basket. For Chile, the official figure is the INE's.

How inflation affects your wallet

  • UF and mortgages: the UF is indexed to CPI, so high inflation makes mortgage payments and rents set in UF more expensive. On September 30 the UF was worth CLP 41,057.20.
  • Wages and pensions: many contracts and public-sector pay adjustments use CPI as a reference.
  • Savings: a peso time deposit that yields less than CPI loses purchasing power.
  • Rates: with inflation above target, the Central Bank has less room to cut its policy rate, which feeds through to the loan rates charged by Chile's largest banks.

Sources for this section: UF value on September 30, 2026, as reported by the Superintendencia de Pensiones; policy rate, Central Bank of Chile. The exchange rate also moved: the dollar rose 4.44% against the peso in September alone, according to the same regulator, which also changes the dollar value of Chile's largest fortunes, as seen in the 2026 Forbes list.

Frequently asked questions

What was Chile's CPI in September 2026?

0.4% month on month, with 4.0% year to date and 4.1% over twelve months, according to the INE.

When is October's CPI released?

In 2026 the INE has released CPI between the 6th and 8th of each month; October data comes out in early November.

How much inflation will there be in 2026?

The Central Bank projected 4.3% in its September IPoM, and economists in the October survey expect 4.6% for December.

What is CPI excluding volatile items?

It is CPI without the most volatile items, such as some food and energy. The Central Bank uses it as its core inflation measure; it rose 0.3% in September.