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Chile's November Financial Policy Meeting: what the Central Bank decides on bank capital and what the Financial Stability Report will bring

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Chile's November Financial Policy Meeting: what the Central Bank decides on bank capital and what the Financial Stability Report will bring

The Board of Chile's Central Bank will hold its second Financial Policy Meeting (RPF) of the year on Friday the 13th and Monday the 16th of November 2026. The statement will be published on Monday the 16th from 6 p.m., and the next day, Tuesday the 17th, the second-half Financial Stability Report (IEF) will be released (Central Bank). The central decision is the countercyclical capital buffer (RCC), a capital cushion banks must build in normal times so they can keep lending if a crisis hits. At the May meeting, the Board unanimously raised it from 0.5% to 1% of risk-weighted assets, its neutral level, with 24 months to comply (La República; CNN Chile).

What banks bring to the meetingCurrent requirement and banking system indicators as of September 2026
1%Countercyclical bufferof risk-weighted assets
3.2%CET1 capital headroomas of February 2026
15.07%Return on equityROAE, September 2026
2.36%90+ day delinquencySeptember 2026
Source: CNN Chile, CMF
View the data as a table
Countercyclical buffer1%
CET1 capital headroom3.2%
Return on equity15.07%
90+ day delinquency2.36%

What November's Financial Policy Meeting decides

The RCC was first activated in May 2023, at 0.5%, and stayed there until May 2026. In November 2025 the Board had announced it would assess convergence to the neutral level depending on macro-financial conditions, and in May it did so. To justify it, the Central Bank pointed out that global risks remain elevated, with a possible escalation of the Middle East war and its effect on inflation and growth, and that banks had CET1 capital headroom of 3.2% of risk-weighted assets as of February, several times the required increase (CNN Chile). The CMF, Chile's financial regulator, issued a prior favorable report.

In November, the Board can keep the 1%, change its implementation period or, if it saw an abrupt deterioration, release it so banks can use that capital and keep lending: that is the logic of a countercyclical cushion. The Central Bank does not pre-announce its decision; what it says on Monday the 16th will be known with the statement. Which banks are the largest and how much capital they hold is in our ranking of banks by assets and profits.

The path of Chile's countercyclical buffer
  1. May 2023Activated at 0.5%First use of the tool
  2. Nov 2025Board says it will assess raising it
  3. May 18, 2026Raised to 1%, its neutral levelUnanimous; 24 months to comply
  4. Nov 13 and 16, 2026Financial Policy MeetingStatement from 6 p.m. on Monday the 16th
  5. Nov 17, 2026Financial Stability Report
Board of the Central Bank of Chile in 2022
The Central Bank Board in 2022. The countercyclical buffer is decided by this body at its two annual financial policy meetings. Photo: Banco Central de Chile, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 2.0).

What the May Financial Stability Report said

The first-half IEF, published on May 19, identified an abrupt tightening of financing conditions as the main global risk. It added other vulnerabilities: high public debt in several economies, high valuations of risky assets and the growing role of non-bank financial intermediaries. Locally, it described household and corporate vulnerabilities as contained, bank profitability above its historical average and banks with enough capital and liquidity to remain solvent in a severe stress scenario (CNN Chile).

Two things have changed since then. The economy weakened more than expected: in September the Central Bank cut its 2026 growth forecast to 0.25%-0.75%, and the September Imacec grew just 0.2%, as we detailed in the Imacec article. And the region had a reminder of banking risk with the Ueno Bank crisis in Paraguay, which we reviewed in what Chile's deposit guarantee covers. The IEF on the 17th will show how those changes weigh.

How banks arrive: profits, lending and delinquency as of September

The latest data from the Financial Market Commission, published on October 29 (CMF), show profitable banks with little new lending. Profits through September totaled US$4,616 million, up 2.78% in real terms from a year earlier, thanks to a wider interest and indexation margin. Loans reached US$297,749 million and grew just 0.93% in real terms over twelve months, with commercial loans at +1.57% and consumer loans falling. 90+ day delinquency rose to 2.36% (2.34% in August).

Indicator (banking system)August 2026September 2026
Loans, real 12-month change—0.93%
Accumulated profits—US$4,616 million
Return on equity (ROAE)—15.07%
Return on assets (ROAA)1.34%1.34%
Provision ratio2.51%2.49%
Impaired portfolio5.88%5.81%
90+ day delinquency2.34%2.36%

Source: CMF, Banking System and Cooperatives Performance Report as of September 2026, published on October 29, 2026. A dash means the release does not give the August figure. Among supervised credit cooperatives, loans grew 5.15% in real terms and 90-day delinquency rose to 2.50%.

Consumer lending is the only one fallingBanking system loans, real 12-month change to September 2026, %
Consumer figure from chart 1 of the CMF release; housing, which also grew, is not given in the text.Source: CMF
View the data as a table
Commercial1.57%
Total0.93%
Cooperatives (total)5.15%
Consumer-1.56%
90-day delinquency rose at banks and cooperativesPortfolio 90+ days past due, % of loans, September 2026
Source: CMF
View the data as a table
Banks, August2.34%
Banks, September2.36%
Cooperatives, August2.46%
Cooperatives, September2.50%
Office building with an Itaú branch in El Golf, Las Condes
Bank offices in the El Golf district of Las Condes. System profits grew 2.78% in real terms through September. Photo: Rodrigo Fernández, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0).

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How much extra capital the 1% means

The requirement is calculated on risk-weighted assets: each bank's loans and investments, adjusted for how risky they are. A mortgage carries less weight than a consumer loan, for example. With a 1% RCC, for every CLP 100 billion of risk-weighted assets the bank must add CLP 1 billion of additional core capital, on top of the minimums set by the General Banking Law. In May, the Central Bank estimated that banks' capital headroom, at 3.2% of risk-weighted assets as of February, was several times the required increase, which is why it allowed 24 months to complete it (CNN Chile).

Capital headroom is more than three times the new requirementPercentage of risk-weighted assets
View the data as a table
CET1 headroom (Feb 2026)3.2%
RCC since May 20261.0%
RCC 2023-20260.5%

What the countercyclical buffer means for borrowers

For a customer, the RCC is not a fee and does not directly change a loan's rate. What it does is force banks to back their loans with more of their own capital. In theory, that can make credit somewhat more expensive or slower while it is built up; in May the Central Bank argued that existing headroom allowed banks to absorb the increase without restricting lending. The flip side is that, in a crisis, the cushion can be released so banks do not cut financing to households and firms. This article is informative and does not constitute financial advice.

Frequently asked questions about the Financial Policy Meeting

When is the November 2026 Financial Policy Meeting?

On November 13 and 16. The statement is published on Monday the 16th from 6 p.m.

What is the countercyclical capital buffer?

Additional capital the Central Bank requires from banks in normal times and can release in a crisis. It is currently set at 1% of risk-weighted assets, with a 24-month period from May 2026.

When is the Financial Stability Report released?

On Tuesday, November 17, 2026. It is the second-half report; the previous one was published on May 19.

How much did Chilean banks earn through September 2026?

US$4,616 million accumulated, 2.78% more in real terms than a year earlier, according to the CMF.